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建设工程项目管理的预测功效：用于决策支持工具竞争性招标

　　Predicting Effectiveness of Construction Project Management: Decision-Support Tool for Competitive Bidding1. Introduction
　　Construction projects are delivered under conditions of risk in the competitive market environment. The origin of risk is the uncertainty inherent to any project, and every risk is associated with a cause, a consequence and the probability or likelihood of the event occurring. There are external risks (economic, political, financial and environmental) and internal risks based on project management issues, i.e. projects manager's and his team competency, experience, strategic and tactic decisions made during construction project delivery. The opportunity to improve organizational performance through more effective project management could provide substantial savings for construction management company.
　　Project management effectiveness depends on certain factors of project management system. The literature review revealed a substantial volume of work on measuring or identifying the factors or conditions contributing to the effectiveness of construction projects. There are three main trends of previous research on construction project success factors:
　　l ey factors identification for construction project success [Jaselskis et. A1.(1991); Sanvido et. A1. (1992); Chua et. A1. (1997)];l identification of key success factors for a particular group of construction projects, e.g.BOT, design-build, public-private partnerships [Tiong (1996);Molenaar et. A1. (2001); Chan et. AI. (2001), Zhang (2005), Shen et. A1.(2005)];l analysis of a particular factor impact on construction project success [Cheng et. A1. (2000); Bower et. A1. (2002); Ford (2002)].
　　译文
　　建设工程项目管理的预测功效：用于决策支持工具竞争性招标1.介绍
　　建设项目在竞争激烈的市场环境风险的情况下交付。风险产生的根源是任何项目固有的不确定性，和每一个风险与事业有关，结果和概率或事件发生的可能性。有外部风险（经济、政治、经济和环境）和内部风险基于项目管理的问题，即项目经理和他的团队的能力、经验，在建设项目交付战略和战术决策。通过更有效的项目管理，提高组织绩效的机会，可以为建设管理公司提供大量的储蓄。
　　项目管理的有效性取决于项目管理系统的某些因素。文献回顾发现工作的主要体积测量或识别的因素或条件促进项目建设的成效。对建设项目成功因素前人研究的三个主要趋势：
　　l 建设项目成功的关键因素识别[Jaselskis等人（1991）；Sanvido等人（1992）；Chua等人（1997）]；l 识别关键成功因素的建设项目，例如机器人，设计，建造，公司合作[Tiong (1996)；Molenaar等人(2001)；Chan等人(2001), Zhang (2005), Shen 等人(2005)]；l 分析某一特定因素影响建设项目成功[Cheng等人（2000年）；Bower等人（2002年）；Ford（2002）]。